We’re in the midst of a massive shift in media consumption
patterns. People consume more news than they ever did, but they don’t read
newspapers anymore. Magazines, even on tablets, are slowly dying. And, as for
books, The New Yorker published an
article titled “Twilight
of the Books”…on December 24, 2007, before eBooks were even a significant
part of the business. Statistics in the article show that the market for books
has been declining for at least 30 years. U.S. movie theater ticket sales
peaked in the 1950s; the only things that have kept the industry going have
been home video sales and higher ticket prices. But, home video sales are also
dropping—they’re being replaced by rentals from Redbox, and online streaming
from Netflix, Amazon and others.
Let’s be clear: Movie attendance has been declining for half
a century, but no one seriously expects the movie business to disappear. The
same is true for books; readership will continue to decline, but it’s hard to
visualize a world without books, even if most of the remaining books are
digital instead of paper. Nevertheless, the balance has shifted. Consumers want
their media faster and cheaper. Readers want their news from the Internet, as
it happens (if not sooner, leaked out via Twitter.) One can argue that
attention spans have gotten shorter—look at the popularity of viral videos on
YouTube—but videogames, both casual and complex, can engross players for hours
or even days.
The transformation of media in the 21st Century
is being driven by three forces: The Internet, mobile devices and wireless
broadband. The Internet provides a conduit for every kind of content. There’s no
need to ever leave your house to purchase any kind of media, and it makes
possible entirely new types and combinations of media that didn’t exist prior
to the rise of the World Wide Web. Mobile devices and wireless broadband make
that content available anywhere, anytime, and open the digital world to
hundreds of millions of people who can’t afford personal computers or
high-speed Internet connections.
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