Historically, Republican administrations have been far less aggressive
in prosecuting antitrust cases than Democratic ones. Had Mitt Romney won
last night, it's likely that the eBook price-fixing case against Apple,
Macmillan and Pearson would have been settled on terms far more
favorable to the companies, or would have been dropped altogether. That
may have been one reason why the three companies refused to settle with
the U.S. Justice Department--they thought that they could get far better
terms by waiting a few months for a Romney administration. However, with
President Obama's reelection, the Justice Department will continue to
pursue its case, and will almost certainly make settlement on the same
or similar terms as Hachette, HarperCollins and Simon & Schuster a
condition for approval of the Penguin-Random House merger. All of this
makes a settlement by Macmillan much more likely. At that point, Apple
won't matter, because all of the Big 6 will be prohibited from accepting
Apple's terms.
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